You are currently viewing EUR/USD Price Retraces Below 1.09, Eying Consumer Confidence

EUR/USD Price Retraces Below 1.09, Eying Consumer Confidence

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  • The EUR/USD pair could jump higher if it stays above the lower median line.
  • Eurozone and US data should move the rate tomorrow.
  • Removing the lower middle line reverses the above scenario.

Today EUR/USD climbed to a new high near 1.0915. The pair fell slightly to 1.0870 as the US dollar regained strength.

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In the short-term, downside pressure remains high as the US dollar has shown signs of being overpriced despite positive US data of late. Yesterday, the CB Leading Index reported a 0.1% decline versus the 0.3% decline expected after a 0.5% decline in the previous reporting period.

Today, the BOJ maintained monetary policy as expected and had less impact on the EUR/USD pair. Consumer confidence in the Eurozone is expected to be -14 points compared to -15 points in the previous reporting period. In addition, the US will release the manufacturing index in Richmond, which could jump from -11 to -7 points.

Fundamentals should be decisive tomorrow, as the US and Eurozone release data on manufacturing and services.

Eurozone service and manufacturing sectors could remain in contraction territory. Also, the Bank of Canada is expected to keep the overnight rate at 5.00%.

Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Price: Selling Bias

Price EUR/USDPrice EUR/USD
EUR/USD 1-hour chart

The EUR/USD pair confirmed its break through the downtrend line and jumped above the weekly pivot point of 1.0903, but failed to stay above it. Now he could test the zones of immediate demand again. The broken downtrend and the lower median lines (LML) are the key obstacles to the downside.

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The rate could rise to new highs if it stays above these lines. Technically, the price could be attracted by the middle line (ml). The upside scenario could be reversed if the price breaks the lower middle line (LML).

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